Written by Jakub Rusinowski · Last updated 2026-07-12 · Hardware figures computed by our VRAM engine
On-premise LLM cost is a one-time hardware purchase amortized over 2–3 years, plus electricity and a modest slice of engineer time; cloud API cost is a per-token meter that scales linearly forever. The crossover sits at sustained volume: below a few hundred thousand tokens a day, APIs stay cheaper; around 1M tokens/day a single-GPU workstation already undercuts frontier API spend; at company scale the gap widens to the point where Deloitte's TMT analysts estimate 50%+ three-year savings. The math below shows each component — then run your own volumes in the calculator.
An honest on-prem TCO has exactly four lines. Vendors tend to show you two of them; cloud advocates tend to inflate the fourth.
| Component | What it is | Typical share of 3-year TCO |
|---|---|---|
| Hardware | GPU workstation or server, amortized over 24–36 months | 50–70% |
| Electricity | Card TDP × utilization × your kWh rate | 10–20% |
| Staff time | Setup (~1 engineer-week), then patching and model updates (~1 day/month) | 15–30% |
| Opportunity/refresh | Hardware ages; open models improve on the same hardware | usually negative — see below |
The forgotten line is the last one, and it runs in on-prem's favor: a 2024 RTX 4090 runs today's models better than 2024's, because open-weight quality per parameter keeps improving. Your API bill has no equivalent — model upgrades reprice at the vendor's discretion. The genuine risk on the hardware line is the opposite event: a workload change (10× more users, a shift to frontier-only tasks) that makes the box too small. That's why the sizing guides on this hub tier by seats, not by aspiration.
Staff time deserves a real number, not hand-waving: standing up Ollama or vLLM behind SSO is about an engineer-week (deployment guide); steady-state operation for a chat/RAG workload is close to zero because the serving stack is boring, mature software. If a vendor quotes you a fractional FTE for "AI platform operations" on a single-model deployment, that's a platform-team cost being smuggled into an inference budget.
The scenario from our GDPR analysis, because it's the most common first deployment: an internal assistant handling ~1M tokens/day of summarization, drafting, and document Q&A for a department.
Break-even against the frontier API lands around month 20; against the total cost including compliance overhead it's arguably immediate for EU personal-data workloads. And the local box isn't consumed by this workload — nights and weekends it's free fine-tuning and batch capacity.
The honest caveat: at this scale the *dollar* difference is small. Companies deploy the department tier for control and compliance, and the cost parity means those come approximately free. The dollars start mattering one tier up.
At ~20M tokens/day — a few hundred active users across several internal tools — the linear API meter and the flat hardware line have fully diverged. Our enterprise compare page works this scenario in detail with current prices; the shape of the result:
This is the territory behind Deloitte's TMT estimate that above a token-volume threshold, on-premises delivers 50% or more savings over three years versus the same workload in public cloud. Directionally our calculator agrees; the threshold itself depends on your model choice and utilization, which is why the next section matters more than any headline percentage.
Three situations where the API is the right financial answer, no asterisks:
The pattern that wins in practice is the same workload tiering described in the sovereign AI explainer: steady-state sensitive volume on owned hardware, frontier API (under enterprise terms) for the exceptions. TCO isn't a religion; it's routing.
Before buying anything, benchmark your actual workload on the exact GPU class for a few dollars — an afternoon on a rented H100 or RTX 6000 answers the sizing question with data:
Full list on the cloud AI directory.
Every scenario above is reproducible in the cost calculator — it uses verified current per-token API prices and street hardware prices, shows the break-even month explicitly, and lets you vary volume, model, and electricity rate. For the hardware side, the build recommender maps budgets to complete part lists, and the hardware tiers guide on this hub sizes by team headcount.
If the numbers say on-prem and the org says "who's going to run it?" — that's the gap the workshop below exists for.
Jakub Rusinowski, the founder of LLM Configurator, runs corporate workshops and lectures on deploying local LLMs — hardware sizing, model selection, compliance-friendly architectures, and hands-on setup for your team. Direct, vendor-neutral, practitioner-level.